Mississippi -7
MSt has got to be feeling pretty good about themselves heading into bowl season. They had a mediocre season in the best conference in the country, however, they won their last 2 games in grand fashion. Beating Arkansas and their rivals Ole Miss, both in overtime.Main reason why I like them, look at their losses: Alabama, Auburn, LSU, South Carolina, Oklahoma St, and Texas A&M.... No wonder they lost! Only losses all season were against nationally ranked teams, I'd be pretty happy with that.
Miss/Rice Over 49 (-115) **3Units**
Neither of these teams really have a shut down defense. Rice is 33rd in the country in points against, not bad actually, but they're in the worst division! As for MSt, they've actually shown that they can put up points when they want to. They scored over 40 points in 3 games this season, and averaged just over 26 per game.
ADDING:
TEXAS A&M -14 (-115) **2Units**
Favorites have been covering today, and by a landslide. Johnny Football will destroy the Duke Defense. Looking for another blowout. Look for that 1H action too! Best of luck
Tuesday 31 December 2013
Monday 30 December 2013
Bowl Season - Dec 30th
All plays are 2 units!!
Miss -3
Ole Miss' greatest asset in there balanced offence. Although they had a tough 7-5 season, who can blame them in such a strong SEC. If you look closer, they weren't an easy win for the SEC juggernauts. They only lost 30-22 vs Auburn and 41-38 against Texas A&M. Not to mention they beat LSU...
Texas +15
The Longhorns have been itching to prove that they belong with the big dogs. They were having a great season until they lost 2 tough games late in the season vs Baylor and Oklahoma St. I think +15 is way too big of a spread. Even though Oregon's offence is relentless, bowl games are a whole different animal..... (continued on next play).....
Oregon Under 67 (-105)
The stages are bigger, the attention is greater, and games tend to be closer. This play goes hand in hand with our last play because, if Texas keeps it within 15, it isn't because they are matching Oregon score for score. Expect Texas to keep this game close with defence, hence the under.
Miss -3
Ole Miss' greatest asset in there balanced offence. Although they had a tough 7-5 season, who can blame them in such a strong SEC. If you look closer, they weren't an easy win for the SEC juggernauts. They only lost 30-22 vs Auburn and 41-38 against Texas A&M. Not to mention they beat LSU...
Texas +15
The Longhorns have been itching to prove that they belong with the big dogs. They were having a great season until they lost 2 tough games late in the season vs Baylor and Oklahoma St. I think +15 is way too big of a spread. Even though Oregon's offence is relentless, bowl games are a whole different animal..... (continued on next play).....
Oregon Under 67 (-105)
The stages are bigger, the attention is greater, and games tend to be closer. This play goes hand in hand with our last play because, if Texas keeps it within 15, it isn't because they are matching Oregon score for score. Expect Texas to keep this game close with defence, hence the under.
Sunday 29 December 2013
NFL Week 17
Final day of the regular season! It's been a battle that's for sure. If we hadn't had a slow start, we'd have a very nice record. But NFL has battled back while our NCAA season led the way. Little bit of a dog-day this final sunday, Let's go!
All 2 unit plays today!!!
NY Jets +7.5 (-115)
It's funny what desperation will do to a team. Last week Rex Ryan admitted that he thought he was on his way out the door, and what did his team do? Answer with a big win. I'm not a Rex Ryan fan, but I do think he is a good coach. With a win today, the Jets will end the season 8-8 and that's nothing short of amazing. To me, he should be a serious candidate for coach of the year. I think this spread is way to high and can even see the Jets walking away with a win.
Arizona Cardinals -1.5 (-125)
The 49ers are going to be a huge public play today, and that's why I like the Cards. This will be the biggest game of the day and my favourite play. The Cards have been the most impressive team in the second half of the season, going 7-1 in their last 8. The Cards have the number 1 run-defence in the league. Meanwhile, the 49ers normally rely on the run but will have to rely on their passing game today. Oh, they have the worst passing-offence in the league. Hello mismatch. Take the birds.
Atlanta Falcons +7 (-120)
I know they play the big-bad Panthers today, but heres the situation. The Panthers are coming off the biggest emotional win in the team's recent history, and now they have to go into a divisional opponents stadium to refocus and close out the season... Not to mention that on the road they are 4-3.
All 2 unit plays today!!!
NY Jets +7.5 (-115)
It's funny what desperation will do to a team. Last week Rex Ryan admitted that he thought he was on his way out the door, and what did his team do? Answer with a big win. I'm not a Rex Ryan fan, but I do think he is a good coach. With a win today, the Jets will end the season 8-8 and that's nothing short of amazing. To me, he should be a serious candidate for coach of the year. I think this spread is way to high and can even see the Jets walking away with a win.
Arizona Cardinals -1.5 (-125)
The 49ers are going to be a huge public play today, and that's why I like the Cards. This will be the biggest game of the day and my favourite play. The Cards have been the most impressive team in the second half of the season, going 7-1 in their last 8. The Cards have the number 1 run-defence in the league. Meanwhile, the 49ers normally rely on the run but will have to rely on their passing game today. Oh, they have the worst passing-offence in the league. Hello mismatch. Take the birds.
Atlanta Falcons +7 (-120)
I know they play the big-bad Panthers today, but heres the situation. The Panthers are coming off the biggest emotional win in the team's recent history, and now they have to go into a divisional opponents stadium to refocus and close out the season... Not to mention that on the road they are 4-3.
Friday 27 December 2013
Bowl Season Dec 27
Maryland +3 (-115) *2Units*
If you follow our blog, a couple days ago I expressed why I didn't like Boise to win. Same type of thing with Marshall. On paper they look great. 9-4 record, a very strong balanced offence, and one of the highest scoring teams in the country. But, everybody knows that this game isn't played on paper. They are in a weak division where they can dominate teams at will. But when they played outside of their division this year, they went a modest 2-3.
Minn/Syracuse Over 48 (-110)
I can see why the o/u is so low (by college standards). These two teams are very similar in the way they play. Both have a relatively average passing game in an offence that is run-dominated, and they both average less than 27 points against per game. However, both teams have game-changers at the running back position. David Cobb on Minn wasn't even on the coaches radar going into camp this year. Now, he's coming off a 1000+ yard season. As for Syracuse, Jerome Smith had over 800 yards on the ground with 11 rushing tds. I've got a hunch that with such focus on the running game, the passing game will open up and lead to big-play opportunities.
If you follow our blog, a couple days ago I expressed why I didn't like Boise to win. Same type of thing with Marshall. On paper they look great. 9-4 record, a very strong balanced offence, and one of the highest scoring teams in the country. But, everybody knows that this game isn't played on paper. They are in a weak division where they can dominate teams at will. But when they played outside of their division this year, they went a modest 2-3.
Minn/Syracuse Over 48 (-110)
I can see why the o/u is so low (by college standards). These two teams are very similar in the way they play. Both have a relatively average passing game in an offence that is run-dominated, and they both average less than 27 points against per game. However, both teams have game-changers at the running back position. David Cobb on Minn wasn't even on the coaches radar going into camp this year. Now, he's coming off a 1000+ yard season. As for Syracuse, Jerome Smith had over 800 yards on the ground with 11 rushing tds. I've got a hunch that with such focus on the running game, the passing game will open up and lead to big-play opportunities.
Thursday 26 December 2013
Bowl Season 2013 - Dec. 26th
Northern Illinois +2 (-102)
The 12-1 Huskies face the 8-5 Aggies today in the Poinsettia Bowl. Jordan Lynch, the North Ill. QB, has reached his final year and is hungrier than ever, not getting the chance to play in a BCS bowl this year. The Aggies have a very solid defensive group while the Huskies have a great offense, especially when playing the ground game. Which side of the Huskies we will see today all depends on Lynch's ability to find his receivers early and often while also carrying the ball effectively when he decides to take it himself. After getting blown out in their last game, I see the Huskies showing grit and determination together to prove that their great record wasn't just a fluke and that they are in fact a talented squad. Take the points if you get them, but the ML is worth taking here.
The 12-1 Huskies face the 8-5 Aggies today in the Poinsettia Bowl. Jordan Lynch, the North Ill. QB, has reached his final year and is hungrier than ever, not getting the chance to play in a BCS bowl this year. The Aggies have a very solid defensive group while the Huskies have a great offense, especially when playing the ground game. Which side of the Huskies we will see today all depends on Lynch's ability to find his receivers early and often while also carrying the ball effectively when he decides to take it himself. After getting blown out in their last game, I see the Huskies showing grit and determination together to prove that their great record wasn't just a fluke and that they are in fact a talented squad. Take the points if you get them, but the ML is worth taking here.
Tuesday 24 December 2013
Bowl Season - Dec 24
Oregon St -3 (-120)
The Beavers went 6-6 this year in a strong Pac-12 conference. But if you watched some of their games, with a couple bounces here and there, they could have shook up the Pac-12. They lost close games to Stanford and Oregon, and played a lot better than their record may indicate. They run a high-tempo offence that would make Chip Kelly proud, leaning on the 3rd best passing offence in the nation. On the flip side, the Broncos are always going to have a winning record simply because of their conference. But when they faced bigger schools this past year (ie: Washington, Fresno St, SD St), they lost. Oregon will be looking to put them in their place tonight. Take the Beavers.
The Beavers went 6-6 this year in a strong Pac-12 conference. But if you watched some of their games, with a couple bounces here and there, they could have shook up the Pac-12. They lost close games to Stanford and Oregon, and played a lot better than their record may indicate. They run a high-tempo offence that would make Chip Kelly proud, leaning on the 3rd best passing offence in the nation. On the flip side, the Broncos are always going to have a winning record simply because of their conference. But when they faced bigger schools this past year (ie: Washington, Fresno St, SD St), they lost. Oregon will be looking to put them in their place tonight. Take the Beavers.
Monday 23 December 2013
BOWL SEASON - Dec 23
Only one bowl game today so not much to pick from, but I feel it's a strong play
East Carolina -14 *2Units* (-115)
ECU doesn't play in a big conference and they didn't play against a top-25 team this year. Nevertheless, they had a good season going 9-3 with a 6-2 record in the C-USA. The Pirates were one of the best teams through the air this season and averaged 331 yards through the air per game. This translated into points as they only scored 30 points or less in just three games this year, averaging 40 points a game. Meanwhile, the Bobcats offence is nothing special. They only scored over 20 points once in their last 5 games. It doesn't take a genius to do the math on this one. I don't think Ohio will be able to keep up. Don't be afraid of the big spread, take ECU.
East Carolina -14 *2Units* (-115)
ECU doesn't play in a big conference and they didn't play against a top-25 team this year. Nevertheless, they had a good season going 9-3 with a 6-2 record in the C-USA. The Pirates were one of the best teams through the air this season and averaged 331 yards through the air per game. This translated into points as they only scored 30 points or less in just three games this year, averaging 40 points a game. Meanwhile, the Bobcats offence is nothing special. They only scored over 20 points once in their last 5 games. It doesn't take a genius to do the math on this one. I don't think Ohio will be able to keep up. Don't be afraid of the big spread, take ECU.
Sunday 22 December 2013
NFL Week 16
Detroit Lions -9 (-110)
I know what happened last week. Everybody knows, and that's why I'm picking the Lions today. They got embarrassed at home on prime time and they have no other choice but to show up today. Forget the player-on player-matchups, forget the insider analysis. This game is a statement game for the Lions and they can't afford to be duds at home two games in a row.
Bucs/Rams Under 43 (-105)
The NFL is a passing game, and these two teams struggle through the air. The Bucs are dead last in passing yards per game while the Rams are 27th. Of course, you still have the run game. But in an over-under, runs eat up the clock and can destroy an over. Take the under.
New England Patriots Pick (-110)
In any sport, when teams come off an emotional or dramatic win, it's hard for them to come back and play well. And if you look at the tape from last week, the Ravens didn't win, the Lions beat themselves! Megatron had some game-changing drops and the Lions offence was lousy. The Ravens on the other hand, didn't even score a touchdown! People were in awe this past week of the great win, but it wasn't. The Pats are banged up and this and that, but this game isn't about the Pats, its about the Ravens.
I know what happened last week. Everybody knows, and that's why I'm picking the Lions today. They got embarrassed at home on prime time and they have no other choice but to show up today. Forget the player-on player-matchups, forget the insider analysis. This game is a statement game for the Lions and they can't afford to be duds at home two games in a row.
Bucs/Rams Under 43 (-105)
The NFL is a passing game, and these two teams struggle through the air. The Bucs are dead last in passing yards per game while the Rams are 27th. Of course, you still have the run game. But in an over-under, runs eat up the clock and can destroy an over. Take the under.
New England Patriots Pick (-110)
In any sport, when teams come off an emotional or dramatic win, it's hard for them to come back and play well. And if you look at the tape from last week, the Ravens didn't win, the Lions beat themselves! Megatron had some game-changing drops and the Lions offence was lousy. The Ravens on the other hand, didn't even score a touchdown! People were in awe this past week of the great win, but it wasn't. The Pats are banged up and this and that, but this game isn't about the Pats, its about the Ravens.
Saturday 21 December 2013
BOWL SEASON - DEC 21
Well, it truly is the most wonderful time of the year! After at 10+ unit season in NCAA its time crush the bowls. We love the dogs today so lets get it started!
Tulane -3 (EVEN)
A big asset of Tulane is their great defence. They are 19th in the country in points against, and in their last three games they gave up 17 points or fewer. On the other side, the Cajuns have lost their last two games and haven't scored over 28 points in a month.
Buffalo +3 (-120)
The only games SD wins are shootouts. They give up over 32 points a game on average and if their offence is just a little bit off sync, it's game over for them. Buffalo is a solid two-way team. They can beat you through the air but also have a strong enough run game that force opponents to adjust. I think SD will have their hands full with BU today.
Colorado +6 (-115)
Everyone loves the passing offence, but teams still need a balanced offence to remain successful. Washington St is great through the air, but their run game is just bad. If Colorado can contain WSt's arial attack, it'll be a tight game right down to the wire. Colorado can run the ball just as well as they can throw it and their balanced attack can be a problem for opponents.
Tulane -3 (EVEN)
A big asset of Tulane is their great defence. They are 19th in the country in points against, and in their last three games they gave up 17 points or fewer. On the other side, the Cajuns have lost their last two games and haven't scored over 28 points in a month.
Buffalo +3 (-120)
The only games SD wins are shootouts. They give up over 32 points a game on average and if their offence is just a little bit off sync, it's game over for them. Buffalo is a solid two-way team. They can beat you through the air but also have a strong enough run game that force opponents to adjust. I think SD will have their hands full with BU today.
Colorado +6 (-115)
Everyone loves the passing offence, but teams still need a balanced offence to remain successful. Washington St is great through the air, but their run game is just bad. If Colorado can contain WSt's arial attack, it'll be a tight game right down to the wire. Colorado can run the ball just as well as they can throw it and their balanced attack can be a problem for opponents.
Sunday 15 December 2013
NFL Week 15
Skins/Falcons Over 50 (-110) **2Units**
People may think this play is untouchable just because RGIII is riding the pine, but he hasn't been the real RGIII for quite some time. The Skins qb/offense isn't the intriguing part in this matchup, they'll manage to get close to 20 points in this game, and that's fine. The interesting part is the Skins defense. They are 27th in the league against the pass and the Falcons are 6th in the league in passing offense. The Falcons are at home so they don't have to worry about the crowd or the weather, expect the Falcons to spread the ball around in this one.
Texans +6 (-105)
I've seen spreads as low as +4 for the Texans and people are still taking them. Yes the Texans haven't won since week two, but they've been keeping games close. In each of their last 7 games, they've lost by 7 points or less. Keenum has found his groove under center and has actually been spreading the ball around nicely. I can't guarantee they'll win, but I think this game will come down to the wire, and then it's anyone's game. Take the points.
Teaser +6.5 (-120)
KC +0.5
Saints -0.5
It's simple, just go out and get us a win boys.
People may think this play is untouchable just because RGIII is riding the pine, but he hasn't been the real RGIII for quite some time. The Skins qb/offense isn't the intriguing part in this matchup, they'll manage to get close to 20 points in this game, and that's fine. The interesting part is the Skins defense. They are 27th in the league against the pass and the Falcons are 6th in the league in passing offense. The Falcons are at home so they don't have to worry about the crowd or the weather, expect the Falcons to spread the ball around in this one.
Texans +6 (-105)
I've seen spreads as low as +4 for the Texans and people are still taking them. Yes the Texans haven't won since week two, but they've been keeping games close. In each of their last 7 games, they've lost by 7 points or less. Keenum has found his groove under center and has actually been spreading the ball around nicely. I can't guarantee they'll win, but I think this game will come down to the wire, and then it's anyone's game. Take the points.
Teaser +6.5 (-120)
KC +0.5
Saints -0.5
It's simple, just go out and get us a win boys.
Sunday 8 December 2013
NFL Week 14
Kansas City -3 (-135)
No team has had a tougher that KC the past three weeks. They played the Broncos twice and faced off against the pesky Chargers. Today, they get back on track. The Redskins have also lost their last 3 (4 actually) but aren't just in a slump, they have had problems all season. As the season is coming to an end, KC has a whole lot more to play for than the Redskins
Patriots/Browns Over 47.5 (-110)
It's December and that only means one thing, Belichick is ready. The Patriots are the best team when it comes to December football, stepping up when the games matter most. It's the Patriot Way. Tom Brady is 46-8 throughout his career in the month of December and the Browns aren't going to change anything now. They gave up 32 points to the Jags last week, and know they travel to Gillette Stadium, good luck.
Min Vikings +7 (-120)
We were on the fence about this one earlier, but its reported that snow has begun to fall in Baltimore and will be a factor throughout the game. I think this plays into the Vikings hands. They ball wont travel as easy through the air and there's a possibility it could turn into a sloppy game. In any case, Vikings have a knack of squeezing out wins and keeping games close. Even if they don't come out with an upset W, the spread should help.
No team has had a tougher that KC the past three weeks. They played the Broncos twice and faced off against the pesky Chargers. Today, they get back on track. The Redskins have also lost their last 3 (4 actually) but aren't just in a slump, they have had problems all season. As the season is coming to an end, KC has a whole lot more to play for than the Redskins
Patriots/Browns Over 47.5 (-110)
It's December and that only means one thing, Belichick is ready. The Patriots are the best team when it comes to December football, stepping up when the games matter most. It's the Patriot Way. Tom Brady is 46-8 throughout his career in the month of December and the Browns aren't going to change anything now. They gave up 32 points to the Jags last week, and know they travel to Gillette Stadium, good luck.
Min Vikings +7 (-120)
We were on the fence about this one earlier, but its reported that snow has begun to fall in Baltimore and will be a factor throughout the game. I think this plays into the Vikings hands. They ball wont travel as easy through the air and there's a possibility it could turn into a sloppy game. In any case, Vikings have a knack of squeezing out wins and keeping games close. Even if they don't come out with an upset W, the spread should help.
Friday 6 December 2013
Bowl Games Sat Dec 7
Missouri -1
I love a good Cinderella story as much as the next guy, but the clock is about to strike midnight for Auburn. From a fan's standpoint, they're this exciting team that is destined for the BCS Championship who just knocked out the #1 team in the country. Realistically though, let's face it. Without two miraculous plays they are 9-3 and have no business being in this game. They've had their fun and it's been a great story, but this is the end.
Stanford +3
When bowl season rolls around, the more complete team wins. Stanford is the better balanced team in this game. They've only given up 19 points per game this season, while ASU is just under 25. And I know it has been a long time since they last met (week 3), but Stanford dominated ASU 42-28. And tomorrow they are +3? Sorry, but that's seems like a lot of ground for ASU to make up. Take Stanford.
I love a good Cinderella story as much as the next guy, but the clock is about to strike midnight for Auburn. From a fan's standpoint, they're this exciting team that is destined for the BCS Championship who just knocked out the #1 team in the country. Realistically though, let's face it. Without two miraculous plays they are 9-3 and have no business being in this game. They've had their fun and it's been a great story, but this is the end.
Stanford +3
When bowl season rolls around, the more complete team wins. Stanford is the better balanced team in this game. They've only given up 19 points per game this season, while ASU is just under 25. And I know it has been a long time since they last met (week 3), but Stanford dominated ASU 42-28. And tomorrow they are +3? Sorry, but that's seems like a lot of ground for ASU to make up. Take Stanford.
Sunday 1 December 2013
NFL Sunday
Sunday:
Vikings -1.5 (-102) 2u
The Bears defense are one of the worst run defenses in the league. And now they have to travel to Minny and try and shut down AP? Sorry Bears, this one is all about the Vikes. The Bears have yet to find traction with Jay Culter out.
Falcons/Bills O48 (-108) 1u
The Falcons may not be a good team this year, but they can still score points. The Bills always play well at home and today will be no different. I expect a high scoring gamne and the fans will leave Ralph Wilson stadium happy.
7 pt TEASER
Pats pk + Bengals( +7) 1u
Didn't have enough confidence with these plays alone, but in a 7pt teaser, this is a very strong play. The Pats head to Houston to face the struggling Texans, and the Bengals play the Chargers. Nice initial lines, but when you throw in a 7pt safety net, these plays look golden.
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