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Sunday 29 September 2013

NFL Week 4

Ok. It begins now. Our NCAA record has been amazing going 13-5, but its time to turn our NFL season around. If we can get these plays going too, we'l be a force. Let's go!

 Cincinnati Bengals -4 (-115)
The Bengals are 2-1 on the season and this team is looking to take control of their conference. They can't squander a chance to beat an easy team like the Browns. Cincy showed they have the offence to compete with teams like the Packers, the Browns simply wont be able to keep up.

Indianapolis Colts -9 (-110)
The Colts suggest that they are a force in the AFC with their new balanced offence. And I believe em. Trent not only gives the Colts a big strong option out of the backfield, but is also a great blocker. It's simple, if Luck can get time to sit back in the pocket, he will pick you apart. Sorry Jags.

Arizona Cardinals +3 (-125)
The Bucs are a team on a downward spiral. I never liked Schiano and I don't blame Freeman for their 0-3 start. He's a control freak type of coach yet he's using Freeman as his excuse. I don't even like Freeman, but that's how much I despise Schiano. I think Tampa is a good team on paper but he has stirred up so much tension with his style of coaching that it has translated into poor play. Now they're turning to a rookie qb to try and steer the ship... Abandon ship and take the Cards.

Saturday 28 September 2013

NCAA Week 5

Boston College +24 (-115)
I know BC is going up against #8 Florida St. but their ranking can be misleading. They played Pittsburgh, Nevada and Bethune-Cook. Not exactly top 25 teams. BC is only giving up an average of 19 points a game and they're going to put up a fight at home.

Iowa -2 (-115)
I love this line. A big 10 matchup, and I believe Iowa is a strong team in that conference. Minnesota is 4-0 but this is their first Big 10 game of the season and it will be interesting to see if this team is for real or not, I think not. Take the Hawkeyes

***** LATE GAMES*****

Oregon/California Over 79 (-115)

Florida -11.5 (-110)

Sunday 22 September 2013

Week 3

Last week was a tough week for us in the NFL. But, if there's a silver lining it is that our NCAA picks are keeping us +units. If we can get our NFL plays going, we'l be in a great position. Lets turn it around today!

NY Giants -2 (-115)
The Giants are 0-2 but I think they're better than what their records portrays. The Giants are 1st in the NFL with an average passing yards of 390 per game. The Panthers are 22nd in the NFL in pass defence. With a spread of just -2, your alarm bells should be going off. Look for Coughlin to put the ball in Eli's hands today as they go for their first win.

Houston Texans -3 (+110)
If you're a fan of stats then you'll love this matchup. The 2-0 Texans head to Baltimore to face the 0-2 Ravens. The Texans are 9th in average passing yards, the Ravens are 14th. The Texans are 3rd in average rushing yards, the Ravens are 23rd. The Texans are 3rd in opposition passing yards, the Ravens are 25th. Get the picture? The game isn't played on paper but mine says, take the Texans.

Chicago Bears -3 (+105)
Talk about polar opposites. The Bears are confident, 2-0 and buying into Mark Trestman's new mantra. The Steelers... they don't have an identity. They have trouble protecting their qb on the pass rush which has led to an average of 198 passing yards per game (27th in the NFL). Not to mention their dismal rushing game. Be consistent and do your job. That's what Trestman has been preaching and the Bears have been listening. If they can play consistent and strong on defence, the Steelers offence will continue to sputter. Take DA Bears.  

Friday 20 September 2013

NCAA Week 4

Huge week coming up, after a mediocre 3-2 week last week (despite netting positive units). Week 4 will be an exciting one with a couple big match-ups so let's get right to it.

LSU -17 (+100)
Auburn may have come away with late game heroics against Miss st. last week but that was then and this is now. They face an aggressive offense that has been netting roughly 500+ yards a game so far this season. This LSU offense is great on both sides of the ball despite some defensive hiccups at time, but look for them to have a solid game against Auburn. In terms of their offense, whether its running or passing the ball, the Tigers can light up that scoreboard and I see them doing so early and often against this Auburn team. Oh, and did I forget to mention that LSU is at home.... and it's a night game? This LSU crowd will be BUZZING to say the least. Look for an explosive performance from the tigers.

LSU/Auburn Under 55 (-114) 1u
So we talked about LSU coming out strong against Auburn in terms of their offense, who is tremendous at passing, but an important stat has been left out. LSU has held Auburn to 10 points in 3 of their last 4 meetings. Last year, a 12-10 win for LSU is all that it took. I expect another great defensive battle, but with LSU coming out on top by 3-4 touchdowns. Playing both the over and the large spread may be somewhat of a risk, but we'll take that chance, seeing as the total has gone under in all 3 of Auburn's games so far this season. Also, LSU may be more focused on Georgia in week 5 and may let up after jumping out to a big lead early. Time will tell.

North Texas +32 (-108) 1u
Not much to say about this one except for this. Georgia has faced two tough opponents and are now faced with a, for lack of a better word, "weaker" opponent. They are also off a bye week BUT NT has some respectable players on their roster and can get some points on the board. Georgia faces LSU next week and despite not being a firm believer in teams looking ahead and whatnot, I see them rotating some depth players into the game at some point and perhaps simply running the clock after they establish a lead. Might seem like a shot in the dark, but I'll the take 32 points and say NT covers.


Marshall +10 (-110) 1u
Third straight spread offense playing against an injury plagued Virginia tech team. I like the Thundering herd in this scenario because out of the 3 last teams, V Tech will have faced, Marshall is without a doubt the best at running that spread offense and the double digit spread simply could not be ignored. VT's defense have been keeping them afloat but their offense has been struggling to mix up passing and running and I believe that week 4 will be their downfall. The ML also seems tempting, more of a lean than anything else though.


Best of Luck this week everyone!

Saturday 14 September 2013

NFL Week 2

Lions -2 (-110)
The Lions could very well be this year's "sleeper team" in the NFL. With Ansah to compliment Suh, their pass rush is mean and talented. Up front, Reggie Bush has already shown his ability to catch the ball, as well as be an affective option in the backfield. They're coming off a confident week 1 and look for them to take that momentum into Arizona.

Saints -3.5 (-105)
Many people are confused by this line and I don't blame them. Not only is the spread strangely low, but the Bucs are even the favs at -115. The Saints proved last week that they are the same ol' Saints behind coach Payton. They beat the highly skilled, arguably the best team in the NFC, Atlanta Falcons last week in Atlanta! We'l see if Vegas really does pull the strings but this looks like a no brainer.

Colts -3 (-110)
The Dolphins are a stronger team this year, but the Colts realized their potential last year and the sky's the limit. Behind a home crowd in the house that Chuck built, look for the Colts to feed off that energy early. Luck has a year under his belt with pretty much the same receiving core, while Tannehill has yet to get on the same page with Wallace. I like the spread, the home field advantage, and the quarterback matchup. Done.  

NCAA Week 3

So we're 7-2 in NCAA play heading into week three. A couple more plays than last week so the write-ups wont be as lengthy. We were 1-1 last week which is fine considering our first week, but it's time to get back on the +units side. Here we go:

Iowa -1.5 (-110)
The Hawkeyes are kind of like the dark horse in the Big Ten. I believe they're a solid team and an improving program that doesn't get enough credit. I know they lost to Northern Illinois in week one, what happened there.., but they bounced back and improved to 1-1 in week two. They have a balanced attack and Iowa St. is not as complete of a team.

Maryland -7 (-110)
Maryland are 2-0 on the year and both wins were convincing landslides, outscoring their opponents 90-20. UConn is not a strong team and even though they're home, I expect Maryland to have a strong game.

South Carolina -14 (-110)
If there was a week where a team wouldn't want to play the Gamecocks, it would be this one. Reeling from a tough lose to Georgia, SC can't wait to get back onto the field. Add that to the fact that it is an SEC game and the Gamecocks are home, expect they to come out hungry in front of a big crowd.

Rice -7 (-110)
Was it just me, or was Rice kind of impressive against A&M last week? Yes they lost it in the second half when Johnny took over, but they held their own. They put up 31 points and ran all over the Aggies defence. This week it is their home opener versus a mediocre, at best, team. It will be interesting to see how they come out against Kansas but this is a line that caught my attention right away.  

THE GAME - TIDE V. AGGIES

Alabama -9 (+105)
First off, be careful with this game. If you don't want to pick a team, then pick the over/under, and if you don't like that, than look into the props. Main point: with a game this huge, have some fun with it and get in on the action.
Now, everyone knows Alabama is the best program in the nation. Best facilities, best recruits, and best coaching staff. But, they've made it to the top the right way. They take pride in their program and the tradition of excellence they've built. As fans it's different, but I assure you the people who are gifted enough to wear that "A" on their jerseys are honoured to represent such a school. It is for this reason that I am taking Bama -9 today.
Last year they got beat by a hot-shot quarterback who they didn't know much about. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice....you don't fool Alabama twice. A hot dog quarterback who rubs pretend money together when he scores a touchdown is not something to aspire to. Alabama is too proud to lose to a school who has a "role-model" like that. While Manziel hung out with Lebron James during the offseason, the Tide were preparing and waiting for this game.
I'll be shocked if Bama isn't ready to go. Hopefully good trumps evil today. Watch for the Tide to Roll.  
 

Sunday 8 September 2013

NFL Week 1

Well! The NFL season hasn't even started and we're already over 4 units in profit with a 6-1 record. Great start but this is a marathon, not a sprint. We'll take our strong start but it's not the time to get soft or play gutsy. We take the same preparation into each week, let's hope this good fortune continues.

LATE PLAY ADDITION:

Giants +3 (+110) 1u
The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 trips to Dallas, confident that streak continues. Look to Eli to pick apart the Cowboys secondary

NFL WEEK 1
The regular season kicks off tomorrow... yes you heard me. NFL football has arrived!
No official play for the Thursday nighter, but we're leaning Broncs -7.5. The choice is yours.

**This post will be updated throughout the rest of the week with our plays and write-ups so stay tuned! At latest, the plays will be up Sunday morning**

Seahawks -3.5 (-110) *2 Units*
From the moment the Falcons hit that game-winning field goal in the NFC divisional round last year to send the Hawks packing, coach Carroll had his mind set on this Sunday. The Hawks were defined by their smash-mouth secondary last year. Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas led that defence, but they struggled with the pass rush. So what did Carroll and GM Schneider do? They went out and got Cliff Avril from the Lions. Cam Newton may think of himself as Superman, but the Hawks defence is as villainous as Lex Luther. Hawks have a big year and a deep run, take the -3.5.

Redskins -3.5 (-110)
There is no way Shanahan lets RG3 step on the field if he's not 100%. They came horribly close to losing their franchise star in last year's playoffs (and I mean, career changing-won't be the same), but they've learnt their lesson. RG3 is back for an encore, Morris is a beast, and the home crowd will be juiced. Eagles are going through a major overhaul with Chip Kelly. They will improve, but it will also take time.

Bengals +3  (-110)
I know what you're thinking. The Bengals? In Chicago? On opening day? Everyone has this image of the Bengals as a mediocre franchise that no one really cares about. Trust me, up until midway through last season, I still pictured them that way. But, in my opinion, the Bengals have the second best defence in league. Dalton is good and getting better, and their wideouts are strong and skilled. This isn't so much a pick but a statement: the Bengals are a dominant team in the NFL.

Giants +3 (+110) 1u
The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 trips to Dallas, confident that streak continues. Look to Eli to pick apart the Cowboys secondary

Friday 6 September 2013

NCAA Week 2

This week we're going to focus more on the NFL. Some weeks we'll have more NCAA plays and deeper write-ups, other weeks we'll concentrate more on NFL plays. It all depends on the lines and the spreads. But let's face it, it's kickoff weekend in the NFL and everyone is looking forward to Sunday.

Ohio -4 (-110)
I like the Bobcats, I consider them my cinderella team. They aren't going to win a National Championship any time soon, but they've got fight. A little school that plays every down whistle to whistle. They got demolished by Louisville last week so look for them to come out hard in their home opener vs. North Texas.

Florida -3 (-110)
Now this is a game with a little more national coverage. If the Gators want to consider themselves a top-10 team and be one of the best teams in the country, then they have to at least be the best team in their state. Sitting at #12, I feel the Gators have more to prove this game. No doubt that the Hurricanes will come out swinging in front of their home crowd, but there will be just as many Gators fans showing off their chomp.