Total Pageviews

Sunday 19 January 2014

Championship Weekend

2 units each

Seattle Seahawks -3 (-125)
This is what the Seahawks have worked for. To go deep into the playoffs with the 12th man on their side. And guess what, it's worked. It's their Fenway, their Old Trafford, their Death Valley. It's not just another road game when teams step out onto the field, it's the kind of place that shakes the ground beneath their feet. Teams can prepare all they want, but it's one of those places that forces an opponent back on their heels from the first whistle. It's the Seahawks last home game, win or lose. But with a trip to the SuperBowl on the line, this will be a Hawks team more ruthless and determined than we've seen all season. I wouldn't bet against them, and neither should you.

Teaser 7 pts (-130)
AFC Over 50.5
NFC Over 33.5
In Denver, it's a perfect day. Sunny, minimal wind, and warm. In other words, it's a perfect day for throwing the football. This is what Manning was brought to Denver to do, and he is under the perfect circumstances to produce. If the Pats want to keep it close, they'll have to put up some points too. In the NFC, yes these teams both have mean defences. But with the o/u set so low, it's the perfect opportunity for a teaser. Both quarterbacks can run just as well as they throw, and that can be difficult to stop.

Sunday 12 January 2014

Divisional Games - Jan 12

Great day yesterday going 2-0. Here we go

San Fran -3 (+105)
Maybe this is unfair. Yes the Panthers have had a great year, but the only thing that matters in the NFL is the playoffs. Not fair, but the truth. They haven't won a playoff game since Jake Delhomme was their qb (what... exactly), and I need convincing. Kaep, as much as I despise him, has shown poise in all the playoff games that he's appeared in. And I don't believe in the argument, "The Panthers were the second seed." They have the same record, as far as I'm concerned, this is an even playing field.

Teaser +6.5 (-120)
Broncs -2
Over 48.5
This is Manning's year to lose. Anything short of a ring would be considered a failure. Is that a lot of pressure, sure. But his team is the best team in the league, on and off paper. There's no reason he shouldn't be in the Superbowl in February. And losing another divisional matchup would unleash the wrath of naysayers and media hounds. Good luck Manning.

Saturday 11 January 2014

Divisional Weekend - Jan 11

NO Saints +10 (-110) **2U**
The Seahawks embarrassed the Saints in week 13, and that's why I like the Saints today. The second they beat the Eagles last weekend, they had their minds set on beating the Hawks. Now I'm not saying they are going to win this one, but I expect a close, intense game. No one, can get their ass handed to them and not want a second chance at redemption. This is their chance. Forget the noise, forget the #1 seed, this is a winner-take-all and I expect the Saints to come out swinging.

Colts/Pats over 50.5 (-106)
Some people may look at tonight's game and now want to touch the o/u. Yes it is rainy, but its mild for a January night in Boston. The cold wont be a factor, and the Patriots know how to play at home, in the rain, and put up points. And if the Colts want to keep this a close game, which they will, they'll have to match them score for score.  

Monday 6 January 2014

BCS Championship

Last NCAA play this season, it has been a good ride, lets end it on a high note.

This is it. We can go over stats, ponder over the spread, second guess match-ups, and try and predict the outcome.... but when it's a championship game, all those things go out the window. Why is this not your typical write-up? Because it's not your typical game. Season stats, records, and Heisman trophies mean nothing. I truly believe when rings are on the line, it all comes down to that intangible factor that no analysis can predict. Heart.
This isn't a science, it's not a code that cappers can crack. The season is a grind where the best in the business can get an inside track, sure. But not winner-take-all games. That's the beauty of sports; anything can happen. It just depends on who wants it more.


FSU -9 (-130)

Sunday 5 January 2014

NFL Wildcard - Jan 5

GB Packers ML (+135)
Yup. That's right. At home, out on the tundra. Forget the spread, this is playoffs where you win or go home. Rodgers just got back to playing football, no way his troops go one and done. Especially at home. Everyone knows this game os going to be freezing, but these kind of games just scream Packers-football. I don't think the Niners know what they're stepping into today. The cold just means the crowd is going to have to be that much more rowdier, just to stay warm. This is Lambeau, this is January, and this is the perfect setting for a Packers upset.

Saturday 4 January 2014

NCAA Bowls and NFL Wildcard - Jan 4

Houston +3 (-115)
Houston had a break out season this year going 8-4. In past years, no one paid much attention to them, this year however, they turned some heads. While they leaned on their passing attack propel the offence, their defence has only given up an average of 20 points per game. I think Houston has a lot more to prove in this game, a bowl win of this magnitude would really put the school on the map.

Colts/Chiefs Over 47 (-110)
Just about the only game this weekend that wont be affected by the weather. I think this will be a tight, back and forth game. The Chiefs got embarrassed by the Colts 2 weeks ago, they'll come out swinging. As for the Colts, Luck isn't the rookie qb anymore. He's at home and should have the confidence today to lead the charge.

Friday 3 January 2014

Bowl Season Jan 3

Clemson +3 (-105)
This one's a juggernaut. Both these teams are coming off losses in their last game of the season. And you can bet that has left a sour taste in their mouths. I expect this to be a close game that can go either way. Ohio St. seemed unstoppable until they faced Mich St. The Spartans' big, strong defence shut down the Buckeyes offence, and that's the biggest mismatch for me tonight. The Buckeyes haven't faced a defence like Clemson yet this season. And when they did, they lost.

OkSt/Mizz Over 62 (-110)
If you love defensive football, don't watch this game. When the bowl schedule first came out I was chopping at the bit to see this games o/u. I thought to myself, anything under 70 and I'm smashing the over. These are two high-flying offences who love to play run-and-gun football. They each average 39 points a game and are teams who rely on their offence to win them games.

Wednesday 1 January 2014

Bowl Season Jan 1

Wisconsin -1.5 (-105)
The name of the game will be "control" for the Badgers. If they can control the football, they will win. They love to run the ball and rack up the time of possession. If they control the SC offence, they will win. They only give up an average of 14 points a game this year and if they can keep the SC offence off the field, it should be a good day.