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Saturday 30 November 2013

Rivalry Weekend

FSU/Florida Over 47 (-115)
Talk about teams with opposite seasons. FSU needs an undefeated season to get a shot at the BCS Championship game, and Florida... they just need this season to be over. Bottom line on this spread, FSU hasn't scored under 41 points all season, and the Gators aren't team they used to be.




Friday 29 November 2013

Friday NCAA

Good 2-1 yesterday, so close to a perfect card. Here's our friday plays, lets get some plus units heading into this weekend!

Pitts +3 (-115)
Last game of the season, you bet your ass Pitts and their home crowd will be ready to go. If this game was a month ago, the spread would be double digits for Florida. But ever since their lost to F.St, the Hurricanes have lost 3 games including a couple to Duke and Virginia Tech…really? Meanwhile Pitts have won 2 of their last 3 including a great win against Notre Dame. G2 teams heading in opposite directions at the end of the season, take Pitts.

Troy -7.5 
Not the most exciting game but a good chance to get a W. Believe it or not Troy has the 12th ranked passing attack in the country, yes Troy. Meanwhile, Texas St. gives up 26 points per game. I can  picture this game turning into a track meet, in which case, Texas St. won't be able to keep up.

(More games to come tonight so check back in later!)

Wednesday 27 November 2013

Thanksgiving

We'd like to wish all our American viewers a very happy thanksgiving. There's nothing more important than family, friends, food, and football!!

Lions -6.5 (-112)
Everyone knows the Packers are beat up and the Lions can't wait to take advantage. This is a divisional matchup and the Lions can't come out soft at home. The Pack are 0-3-1 since AR went down and the fact is that no one else can run that offense on full throttle. On such a stage, the Lions will give their fans something to go home happy about.

Ravens -2.5
Talk about a big game. On Thanksgiving, vs a divisional rival, with identical records... Ohhh boy. Much like the Lions, the Ravens can't afford to come out soft at home. I can't stand Flacco, but I can't pass up on this one. With such a soft spread, basically a win and you're in.

Cowboys-Raiders Over 47.5 (-102)
Don't look now, but Romo is actually playing some pretty good ball lately. The Cowboys are 5th in offensive points, yes, 5th! I think they'll be firing on all cylinders at home and will want to impress their home crowd. As for the Raiders, I expect the Cowboys to do most of the heavy lifting on this over, but Oak will chip in. They have a great run game and the boys have given up over 21 points in their last 4 games.

Sunday 24 November 2013

NFL Week 12

KC -4.5 (-105)
Last week the Broncs handed KC their first lost. Expect KC to bounce back this week against the Chargers. The Chiefs are back at home, where no fans impact the game as much as theirs (well, maybe Seattle). The Chargers' best asset is their passing game, if the KC can shut down Rivers, game over.

Miami +5
This one's a little outside the box, but hear me out. Carolina is coming off a big win against the Patriots and they must be feeling pretty good. Meanwhile, they travel to Miami with a team that has nothing to lose. There's nothing scarier than that. Miami's last two games at home have been wins, I have a hunch they might be poised for an upset.

Indy +3 (-105)
Arizona has been the surprise of the league lately, winning their last 3 games and holding a 6-4 record. But this spread is unfair to an underrated Colts team. They're 7-3 and are 4-1 on the road. If the spread was meant to favour the home team, it doesn't apply in my mind. Take the Colts and the help... but you won't need it.

Chicago +1
The Bears have been battling lately and it's been fun to watch. I don't care if Jay Cutler is out, the Bears can scratch and claw their way down the field through the run game. McCown had his breakout performance last week against the Ravens, beating them in OT. Trestman is as great game manager and can put his players in a position to win every week.      

Saturday 23 November 2013

NCAA Week 13

BYU/Notre Dame Under 54 (-115)
Neither of these teams are scoring machines and both of ND's last two games have come down to the wire. As both defence's are in the top 40 for points against, I expect this to be a tight game. The fact that the point spread is only -1 for ND, this game could go either way and that helps the under. Look for conservative play calling and solid defence.

A&M/LSU Over 74 (-105)
If you're not watching this game this afternoon then I seriously wonder why you're even reading this. I hope this game is as good as it is hyped up to be. Like everyone else I want to see a back and forth shootout between Manziel and the Tigers. LSU was shut down last week and held to only 17 points. I think they'll be itching to put up some points at home. As for A&M, their defence has no business being in the top 25 and the only reason they are ranked 12th is because of Johnny.

Fresno St/New Mexico Over 68 (-115) ***2 Units***
Fresno St loves to put up points, especially at home. They've put up 38 points or more at home every game this year. The determining factor in this play is will be New Mexico's contribution. You wouldn't think of NM as a scoring machine, but in their last 3 games they've put up 30 points or more. This is an undervalued play and that's why it's 2 units.     
  

Saturday 16 November 2013

NFL Week 11

Cincinnati -5.5 (-105)
It wasn't a very good road for the Bengals. They are 0-2 in their last two and my guess is they can't wait to get home. The cats are due for a good performance and they can't afford to lose again to the Browns. Heading into a bye week next week, the Bengals need to have a strong performance. I'm betting that the home crowd won't be disappointed.

Jets/Bills over 40 (-110)
Regardless of the matchup, I think a 40 point total line is very low. These are professional football players who are played to make plays and score points. The Jets have proven that they can score points on a big stage, beating the Patriots and the Saints. As for the Bills, they have lost 3 straight and don't want to lose to a divisional opponent at home. I have a hunch this can turn into one of those sloppy back-and-forth games.

Washington +4.5
The Skins are a funny team to watch. They'll have games that remind you of the old run-and-gun RGIII  where the kid can't be stopped, then they'll go and lose to a team like the Vikes. An interesting trend though is the last 3 times the Skins lost, they rebounded the next week with a win. We're betting they'll do the same this week. And with a 4.5 point cushion, I like the Skins this week.

Patriots +1 ***3 Units***
Easily, EASILY, our favourite play of the week. The Pats are in Carolina for a primetime showdown on Monday night. And don't look now AFC, but the Patriots may be a dark horse down the road. With Gronk and Amendola healthy, plus the likely return of Talib, Arrington, and Vereen this week, the Pats are the healthiest they've been since the start of the season (minus Vince Wilfork, damn). Brady is starting to find rhythm with his young group and have put up 27 points or more in their last 4 games. Including a 55-point show vs. the Steelers. They will be tested this week against the Panthers D, but I think Tom is chomping at the bit to get back out with a healthy offence.

Friday 15 November 2013

NCAA Week 12

Oklahoma St. -3 (-115) ***3 Units***
This is a big one for us. The #12 Cowboys ride into Texas to face the #24 Longhorns. Oklahoma has a high-flying offence that rakes up 40 points a game. In their past 3 games they've scored 42 points or more and have won 5 straight. The Cowboys want to crack the top ten and have been waiting for a big stage to do it. This is their chance.

Central Michigan -3 (-105)
I know it's a boring matchup, but it's a great spread! Central Michigan is a better team across the board. The Western Michigan Broncos are 1-9 in the MAC while Central Michigan is 3-6. The Broncos only average 17 points a game while giving up 36.

Houston +16.5
Houston heads into Louisville to face off against the Cardinals. People have been questioning if Houston is a legitimate team, following their loss last week to UCF. Nothing fires up a team more than doubtful critics. This spread is insulting for a team sitting at 7-2. Houston wants to prove to people that they are a good team, this is the week to do it.

Sunday 10 November 2013

NFL Week 10

Seattle -4.5 (-105)
We've given the Falcons enough chances this year, now they're done. If the Falcons continue to play the way they are, this spread should be a cake walk. The Hawks prolific run offence is their focus point, but last week showed that they can throw the ball as well. They relied on Wilson to comeback over the Bucs and he did. The Hawks know they came out soft last week but this week, against a divisional rival, no mercy.

Chicago +1 EVEN
The Bears are coming home off a good win in Lambeau last week, look for the crowd to be rocking! The Bears rely on a 2-way offence, while the Lions are strictly pass, pass, pass. If the Bears shut down Stafford, the Bears will walk away with a W.

Carolina +6  (+110)
Defence is the name of the game for matchup. I love the spread vs the 49ers as I expect it to be a tight defensive and field-possesion battle. Not only do the Panthers have a top-10 defence, Cam Newton is back to his old self. Don't be surprised if this game comes to a last-minute field goal.

New Orleans +6
This game is all about the bounce-back from last week. The Saints got a reality shock when they lost to the Jets. Now, they're at home and in the comforts of an indoor stadium. When the conditions are right, no defence can stop the Saints pass offence. Last week they were outside in NY (which is a major problem for the Saints looking forward), but this week they're home and look for them to come out flying.

Saturday 9 November 2013

NCAA WEEK 11

Penn State +3 (-115)
Penn St's game has been getting better from week to week, minus the game vs. Ohio St but who can blame them. I believe that Minnesota's mediocre passing offence will hurt them today. Take the Lions.

Virginia Tech +7 (-115)
I think last week Florida St exposed the Hurricane's weaknesses. VT has lost 2 straight and don't want to lose another divisional matchup. I'm not saying they'll win, but +7 is a great spread for a conference game.

Texas -6
Across the board, Texas is a better and well-rounded football team. They're 5-0 against other Big 12 teams as they step up when the game means the most. West Virginia is not the same team they were last year and have fallen off in the conference.

San Diego State University +7 (-120)
Rivals and in-state school, there's no way this game is a blow out. Look for both teams to come out fighting. I like the +7 spread on games like these. I expect this game to be a fourth-quarter game, as they are very closely matched on paper.

Houston +12 
Not many people take you Houston seriously and the spread shows it. They're 7-1 with a 18th ranked passing game in the country, and are 12th best in scoring. They're equally matched with UCF, the 12 point spread looks too good to be true.

Arizona St -7 (-125)
The Sun Devils are favourites and with good reason. They're 22nd in the country, must thanks to their passing offence and scoring ability. I have no idea why the spread is only a touchdown. Utah is 1-4 in Pac-12 play and are coming off two ugly losses vs. Arizona and USC.  

Sunday 3 November 2013

NFL Week 9

This is it. You can consider this our hail mary pass of our NFL season. Let's do it.

Atlanta +7.5 (-105)
This is our last straw for the hopeless Falcons. I just can't see the Falcons losing to the Panthers by more than a touchdown. They're 2-5 and they NEED a win against a divisional opponent. They got embarrassed last week against the Cards, they have to bounce back.

Minnesota +10 (-105)
The Vikes head into Cowboys stadium with a big game vs. the boys. The Vikes aren't going to win any shoot-outs, and they know it. Look for them to play a conservative game, keeping it close, and controlling the flow of the game. If they can do that, it might be a 4th quarter game. I like the 10 point cushion.

Redskins +1 (-115)
When I look at the Redskins, I look at their last two games. They've gotten back to RGIII/Skins football. They put up 45 points against Chicago, and kept the game close for three quarters last week vs. the Broncos. There passing is 10th in the league and their rushing is 6th. Surprisingly good for a 2-5 team.

Eagles +3 (-125)
I'll give the Raiders credit for their 3-4 start, but not enough to trust em with a pick. The Eagles need this win, having lost their last 2. With their QB-carousel, the Eagles will depend on their running game that I think the Raiders will have a tough time with. I just can't trust the Raiders, this is their chance to prove me wrong. But I'm still taking Eagles.

Ravens -3 (Even)
2 straight losses, thank god the Ravens had a bye-week last week. They needed a chance to regroup and get it together. I think they did that. They had an extra week to prepare for this game against the Browns. They wont lose this game.

Saturday 2 November 2013

NCAA Week 10

Only late plays today, not including an early teaser. If it goes well, maybe we'l start including more documented teasers. Here we go!

Georgia Tech -11.5 (-110)
The Yellow Jackets have been playing quality ball lately. They've won 2 straight and I don't expect them to let up at home. GT has the number 4th ranked run offence in the country. Meanwhile, Pitts has not been impressive lately. They're 1-2 in the last 3, including losses to Navy and Virginia Tech.

Texas Tech +1 (-105)
I love this line and I love this game. It should be a great game to watch. It's the TT air attack vs the Oklahoma State defence. I just can't see TT not having a big game. It's primetime, they're at home, and it's a top 20 matchup.

**Teaser 7Pts**
Iowa +16 & Boston College +11.5
2.5U to win 1.9U