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Friday 20 September 2013

NCAA Week 4

Huge week coming up, after a mediocre 3-2 week last week (despite netting positive units). Week 4 will be an exciting one with a couple big match-ups so let's get right to it.

LSU -17 (+100)
Auburn may have come away with late game heroics against Miss st. last week but that was then and this is now. They face an aggressive offense that has been netting roughly 500+ yards a game so far this season. This LSU offense is great on both sides of the ball despite some defensive hiccups at time, but look for them to have a solid game against Auburn. In terms of their offense, whether its running or passing the ball, the Tigers can light up that scoreboard and I see them doing so early and often against this Auburn team. Oh, and did I forget to mention that LSU is at home.... and it's a night game? This LSU crowd will be BUZZING to say the least. Look for an explosive performance from the tigers.

LSU/Auburn Under 55 (-114) 1u
So we talked about LSU coming out strong against Auburn in terms of their offense, who is tremendous at passing, but an important stat has been left out. LSU has held Auburn to 10 points in 3 of their last 4 meetings. Last year, a 12-10 win for LSU is all that it took. I expect another great defensive battle, but with LSU coming out on top by 3-4 touchdowns. Playing both the over and the large spread may be somewhat of a risk, but we'll take that chance, seeing as the total has gone under in all 3 of Auburn's games so far this season. Also, LSU may be more focused on Georgia in week 5 and may let up after jumping out to a big lead early. Time will tell.

North Texas +32 (-108) 1u
Not much to say about this one except for this. Georgia has faced two tough opponents and are now faced with a, for lack of a better word, "weaker" opponent. They are also off a bye week BUT NT has some respectable players on their roster and can get some points on the board. Georgia faces LSU next week and despite not being a firm believer in teams looking ahead and whatnot, I see them rotating some depth players into the game at some point and perhaps simply running the clock after they establish a lead. Might seem like a shot in the dark, but I'll the take 32 points and say NT covers.


Marshall +10 (-110) 1u
Third straight spread offense playing against an injury plagued Virginia tech team. I like the Thundering herd in this scenario because out of the 3 last teams, V Tech will have faced, Marshall is without a doubt the best at running that spread offense and the double digit spread simply could not be ignored. VT's defense have been keeping them afloat but their offense has been struggling to mix up passing and running and I believe that week 4 will be their downfall. The ML also seems tempting, more of a lean than anything else though.


Best of Luck this week everyone!

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