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Sunday 20 December 2015

NFL Week 15 - Early Games

YTD 30-17 +14.8 units

Great 3-1 day yesterday. Let's Keep er goin! 

Carolina 1st Half TT O13.5

Carolina may be in tough against this Giants team this week and may not get as easy a win as they've had throughout the season, but putting up two Td's in the first half should be easy work for Cam and the panthers.. Don't see the Giants shutting them down. If this is going to be a close one, it'll be thanks to a shootout from both squads, not a defensive game, in my opinion. Small play on the over could be recommended.

Odell Beckham O90.5 yds (-105) 1u
OBJ has been getting over 100 yards a game for the last 5 games and has been Manning's number 1 guy all season. Panthers will know this, but getting a number lower than 100 seems like a gift to me. I've been staying off of OBJ thinking at some point, teams won't let him touch the ball as much as he has been, but nobody has been able to do so. If this ends up being a shootout, he'll be the one doing much of the damage for the Giants. 

Pats -4.5 1st Downs (-125) 2u
I don't see this game being an absolute 30 point blowout. The Pats are getting more and more injuries and Brady has apparently had a flu all week, so I couldn't pull the trigger any other prop in this game, But Tennessee is absolutely brutal at moving the ball. 3 and outs all game long. Brady and his boys should be able to have a few drives from their own 20 ending up as scores, each getting them 3-4-5 first downs along the way. The Jets got 25 first downs against the Titans last week while giving up only 14. Granted the Jets have an amazing defensive group, the Pats offense should be able to muster about the same amount of First downs against Tennesse.. Love this play

Teddy Bridgewater O190.5 Pass Yds (-120) 1u
Despite the brutal loss on TNF last week, Teddy still got it done through the air. Today, against a bears team that just doesn't look all that great, he should be able to repeat the feat. Books giving him under 200 yards every week, I'll gladly hop on once again. A few solid drives down field, and mixing in a throw or two with AP's solid runs should keep the bears guessing. 

Matt Forte O57.5 Rush yards (-115) 2u
Loving Forte here. The Bears don't have many guns they can rely on, but Forte is definitely one of their few bright spots. Give him the ball, let him run through walls for ya. I'll take anything under 65-70 yards any day of the week.

Matt Ryan O279.5 Pass yds (-115) 1u
Matt Ryan and the Falcons have suffered enough already this year. And now they face a Jacksonville team who's show some heart and grit throughout the season. I wouldn't bet a dollar on the Falcons, despite the weekly public love we see for them every week. But today, Ryan should be able to move the ball through the air and land a few deep balls and get himself close to a 300 yard game, if not more. 

Best of luck to all

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