Maryland +3 (-115) *2Units*
If you follow our blog, a couple days ago I expressed why I didn't like Boise to win. Same type of thing with Marshall. On paper they look great. 9-4 record, a very strong balanced offence, and one of the highest scoring teams in the country. But, everybody knows that this game isn't played on paper. They are in a weak division where they can dominate teams at will. But when they played outside of their division this year, they went a modest 2-3.
Minn/Syracuse Over 48 (-110)
I can see why the o/u is so low (by college standards). These two teams are very similar in the way they play. Both have a relatively average passing game in an offence that is run-dominated, and they both average less than 27 points against per game. However, both teams have game-changers at the running back position. David Cobb on Minn wasn't even on the coaches radar going into camp this year. Now, he's coming off a 1000+ yard season. As for Syracuse, Jerome Smith had over 800 yards on the ground with 11 rushing tds. I've got a hunch that with such focus on the running game, the passing game will open up and lead to big-play opportunities.
Friday, 27 December 2013
Thursday, 26 December 2013
Bowl Season 2013 - Dec. 26th
Northern Illinois +2 (-102)
The 12-1 Huskies face the 8-5 Aggies today in the Poinsettia Bowl. Jordan Lynch, the North Ill. QB, has reached his final year and is hungrier than ever, not getting the chance to play in a BCS bowl this year. The Aggies have a very solid defensive group while the Huskies have a great offense, especially when playing the ground game. Which side of the Huskies we will see today all depends on Lynch's ability to find his receivers early and often while also carrying the ball effectively when he decides to take it himself. After getting blown out in their last game, I see the Huskies showing grit and determination together to prove that their great record wasn't just a fluke and that they are in fact a talented squad. Take the points if you get them, but the ML is worth taking here.
The 12-1 Huskies face the 8-5 Aggies today in the Poinsettia Bowl. Jordan Lynch, the North Ill. QB, has reached his final year and is hungrier than ever, not getting the chance to play in a BCS bowl this year. The Aggies have a very solid defensive group while the Huskies have a great offense, especially when playing the ground game. Which side of the Huskies we will see today all depends on Lynch's ability to find his receivers early and often while also carrying the ball effectively when he decides to take it himself. After getting blown out in their last game, I see the Huskies showing grit and determination together to prove that their great record wasn't just a fluke and that they are in fact a talented squad. Take the points if you get them, but the ML is worth taking here.
Tuesday, 24 December 2013
Bowl Season - Dec 24
Oregon St -3 (-120)
The Beavers went 6-6 this year in a strong Pac-12 conference. But if you watched some of their games, with a couple bounces here and there, they could have shook up the Pac-12. They lost close games to Stanford and Oregon, and played a lot better than their record may indicate. They run a high-tempo offence that would make Chip Kelly proud, leaning on the 3rd best passing offence in the nation. On the flip side, the Broncos are always going to have a winning record simply because of their conference. But when they faced bigger schools this past year (ie: Washington, Fresno St, SD St), they lost. Oregon will be looking to put them in their place tonight. Take the Beavers.
The Beavers went 6-6 this year in a strong Pac-12 conference. But if you watched some of their games, with a couple bounces here and there, they could have shook up the Pac-12. They lost close games to Stanford and Oregon, and played a lot better than their record may indicate. They run a high-tempo offence that would make Chip Kelly proud, leaning on the 3rd best passing offence in the nation. On the flip side, the Broncos are always going to have a winning record simply because of their conference. But when they faced bigger schools this past year (ie: Washington, Fresno St, SD St), they lost. Oregon will be looking to put them in their place tonight. Take the Beavers.
Monday, 23 December 2013
BOWL SEASON - Dec 23
Only one bowl game today so not much to pick from, but I feel it's a strong play
East Carolina -14 *2Units* (-115)
ECU doesn't play in a big conference and they didn't play against a top-25 team this year. Nevertheless, they had a good season going 9-3 with a 6-2 record in the C-USA. The Pirates were one of the best teams through the air this season and averaged 331 yards through the air per game. This translated into points as they only scored 30 points or less in just three games this year, averaging 40 points a game. Meanwhile, the Bobcats offence is nothing special. They only scored over 20 points once in their last 5 games. It doesn't take a genius to do the math on this one. I don't think Ohio will be able to keep up. Don't be afraid of the big spread, take ECU.
East Carolina -14 *2Units* (-115)
ECU doesn't play in a big conference and they didn't play against a top-25 team this year. Nevertheless, they had a good season going 9-3 with a 6-2 record in the C-USA. The Pirates were one of the best teams through the air this season and averaged 331 yards through the air per game. This translated into points as they only scored 30 points or less in just three games this year, averaging 40 points a game. Meanwhile, the Bobcats offence is nothing special. They only scored over 20 points once in their last 5 games. It doesn't take a genius to do the math on this one. I don't think Ohio will be able to keep up. Don't be afraid of the big spread, take ECU.
Sunday, 22 December 2013
NFL Week 16
Detroit Lions -9 (-110)
I know what happened last week. Everybody knows, and that's why I'm picking the Lions today. They got embarrassed at home on prime time and they have no other choice but to show up today. Forget the player-on player-matchups, forget the insider analysis. This game is a statement game for the Lions and they can't afford to be duds at home two games in a row.
Bucs/Rams Under 43 (-105)
The NFL is a passing game, and these two teams struggle through the air. The Bucs are dead last in passing yards per game while the Rams are 27th. Of course, you still have the run game. But in an over-under, runs eat up the clock and can destroy an over. Take the under.
New England Patriots Pick (-110)
In any sport, when teams come off an emotional or dramatic win, it's hard for them to come back and play well. And if you look at the tape from last week, the Ravens didn't win, the Lions beat themselves! Megatron had some game-changing drops and the Lions offence was lousy. The Ravens on the other hand, didn't even score a touchdown! People were in awe this past week of the great win, but it wasn't. The Pats are banged up and this and that, but this game isn't about the Pats, its about the Ravens.
I know what happened last week. Everybody knows, and that's why I'm picking the Lions today. They got embarrassed at home on prime time and they have no other choice but to show up today. Forget the player-on player-matchups, forget the insider analysis. This game is a statement game for the Lions and they can't afford to be duds at home two games in a row.
Bucs/Rams Under 43 (-105)
The NFL is a passing game, and these two teams struggle through the air. The Bucs are dead last in passing yards per game while the Rams are 27th. Of course, you still have the run game. But in an over-under, runs eat up the clock and can destroy an over. Take the under.
New England Patriots Pick (-110)
In any sport, when teams come off an emotional or dramatic win, it's hard for them to come back and play well. And if you look at the tape from last week, the Ravens didn't win, the Lions beat themselves! Megatron had some game-changing drops and the Lions offence was lousy. The Ravens on the other hand, didn't even score a touchdown! People were in awe this past week of the great win, but it wasn't. The Pats are banged up and this and that, but this game isn't about the Pats, its about the Ravens.
Saturday, 21 December 2013
BOWL SEASON - DEC 21
Well, it truly is the most wonderful time of the year! After at 10+ unit season in NCAA its time crush the bowls. We love the dogs today so lets get it started!
Tulane -3 (EVEN)
A big asset of Tulane is their great defence. They are 19th in the country in points against, and in their last three games they gave up 17 points or fewer. On the other side, the Cajuns have lost their last two games and haven't scored over 28 points in a month.
Buffalo +3 (-120)
The only games SD wins are shootouts. They give up over 32 points a game on average and if their offence is just a little bit off sync, it's game over for them. Buffalo is a solid two-way team. They can beat you through the air but also have a strong enough run game that force opponents to adjust. I think SD will have their hands full with BU today.
Colorado +6 (-115)
Everyone loves the passing offence, but teams still need a balanced offence to remain successful. Washington St is great through the air, but their run game is just bad. If Colorado can contain WSt's arial attack, it'll be a tight game right down to the wire. Colorado can run the ball just as well as they can throw it and their balanced attack can be a problem for opponents.
Tulane -3 (EVEN)
A big asset of Tulane is their great defence. They are 19th in the country in points against, and in their last three games they gave up 17 points or fewer. On the other side, the Cajuns have lost their last two games and haven't scored over 28 points in a month.
Buffalo +3 (-120)
The only games SD wins are shootouts. They give up over 32 points a game on average and if their offence is just a little bit off sync, it's game over for them. Buffalo is a solid two-way team. They can beat you through the air but also have a strong enough run game that force opponents to adjust. I think SD will have their hands full with BU today.
Colorado +6 (-115)
Everyone loves the passing offence, but teams still need a balanced offence to remain successful. Washington St is great through the air, but their run game is just bad. If Colorado can contain WSt's arial attack, it'll be a tight game right down to the wire. Colorado can run the ball just as well as they can throw it and their balanced attack can be a problem for opponents.
Sunday, 15 December 2013
NFL Week 15
Skins/Falcons Over 50 (-110) **2Units**
People may think this play is untouchable just because RGIII is riding the pine, but he hasn't been the real RGIII for quite some time. The Skins qb/offense isn't the intriguing part in this matchup, they'll manage to get close to 20 points in this game, and that's fine. The interesting part is the Skins defense. They are 27th in the league against the pass and the Falcons are 6th in the league in passing offense. The Falcons are at home so they don't have to worry about the crowd or the weather, expect the Falcons to spread the ball around in this one.
Texans +6 (-105)
I've seen spreads as low as +4 for the Texans and people are still taking them. Yes the Texans haven't won since week two, but they've been keeping games close. In each of their last 7 games, they've lost by 7 points or less. Keenum has found his groove under center and has actually been spreading the ball around nicely. I can't guarantee they'll win, but I think this game will come down to the wire, and then it's anyone's game. Take the points.
Teaser +6.5 (-120)
KC +0.5
Saints -0.5
It's simple, just go out and get us a win boys.
People may think this play is untouchable just because RGIII is riding the pine, but he hasn't been the real RGIII for quite some time. The Skins qb/offense isn't the intriguing part in this matchup, they'll manage to get close to 20 points in this game, and that's fine. The interesting part is the Skins defense. They are 27th in the league against the pass and the Falcons are 6th in the league in passing offense. The Falcons are at home so they don't have to worry about the crowd or the weather, expect the Falcons to spread the ball around in this one.
Texans +6 (-105)
I've seen spreads as low as +4 for the Texans and people are still taking them. Yes the Texans haven't won since week two, but they've been keeping games close. In each of their last 7 games, they've lost by 7 points or less. Keenum has found his groove under center and has actually been spreading the ball around nicely. I can't guarantee they'll win, but I think this game will come down to the wire, and then it's anyone's game. Take the points.
Teaser +6.5 (-120)
KC +0.5
Saints -0.5
It's simple, just go out and get us a win boys.
Sunday, 8 December 2013
NFL Week 14
Kansas City -3 (-135)
No team has had a tougher that KC the past three weeks. They played the Broncos twice and faced off against the pesky Chargers. Today, they get back on track. The Redskins have also lost their last 3 (4 actually) but aren't just in a slump, they have had problems all season. As the season is coming to an end, KC has a whole lot more to play for than the Redskins
Patriots/Browns Over 47.5 (-110)
It's December and that only means one thing, Belichick is ready. The Patriots are the best team when it comes to December football, stepping up when the games matter most. It's the Patriot Way. Tom Brady is 46-8 throughout his career in the month of December and the Browns aren't going to change anything now. They gave up 32 points to the Jags last week, and know they travel to Gillette Stadium, good luck.
Min Vikings +7 (-120)
We were on the fence about this one earlier, but its reported that snow has begun to fall in Baltimore and will be a factor throughout the game. I think this plays into the Vikings hands. They ball wont travel as easy through the air and there's a possibility it could turn into a sloppy game. In any case, Vikings have a knack of squeezing out wins and keeping games close. Even if they don't come out with an upset W, the spread should help.
No team has had a tougher that KC the past three weeks. They played the Broncos twice and faced off against the pesky Chargers. Today, they get back on track. The Redskins have also lost their last 3 (4 actually) but aren't just in a slump, they have had problems all season. As the season is coming to an end, KC has a whole lot more to play for than the Redskins
Patriots/Browns Over 47.5 (-110)
It's December and that only means one thing, Belichick is ready. The Patriots are the best team when it comes to December football, stepping up when the games matter most. It's the Patriot Way. Tom Brady is 46-8 throughout his career in the month of December and the Browns aren't going to change anything now. They gave up 32 points to the Jags last week, and know they travel to Gillette Stadium, good luck.
Min Vikings +7 (-120)
We were on the fence about this one earlier, but its reported that snow has begun to fall in Baltimore and will be a factor throughout the game. I think this plays into the Vikings hands. They ball wont travel as easy through the air and there's a possibility it could turn into a sloppy game. In any case, Vikings have a knack of squeezing out wins and keeping games close. Even if they don't come out with an upset W, the spread should help.
Friday, 6 December 2013
Bowl Games Sat Dec 7
Missouri -1
I love a good Cinderella story as much as the next guy, but the clock is about to strike midnight for Auburn. From a fan's standpoint, they're this exciting team that is destined for the BCS Championship who just knocked out the #1 team in the country. Realistically though, let's face it. Without two miraculous plays they are 9-3 and have no business being in this game. They've had their fun and it's been a great story, but this is the end.
Stanford +3
When bowl season rolls around, the more complete team wins. Stanford is the better balanced team in this game. They've only given up 19 points per game this season, while ASU is just under 25. And I know it has been a long time since they last met (week 3), but Stanford dominated ASU 42-28. And tomorrow they are +3? Sorry, but that's seems like a lot of ground for ASU to make up. Take Stanford.
I love a good Cinderella story as much as the next guy, but the clock is about to strike midnight for Auburn. From a fan's standpoint, they're this exciting team that is destined for the BCS Championship who just knocked out the #1 team in the country. Realistically though, let's face it. Without two miraculous plays they are 9-3 and have no business being in this game. They've had their fun and it's been a great story, but this is the end.
Stanford +3
When bowl season rolls around, the more complete team wins. Stanford is the better balanced team in this game. They've only given up 19 points per game this season, while ASU is just under 25. And I know it has been a long time since they last met (week 3), but Stanford dominated ASU 42-28. And tomorrow they are +3? Sorry, but that's seems like a lot of ground for ASU to make up. Take Stanford.
Sunday, 1 December 2013
NFL Sunday
Sunday:
Vikings -1.5 (-102) 2u
The Bears defense are one of the worst run defenses in the league. And now they have to travel to Minny and try and shut down AP? Sorry Bears, this one is all about the Vikes. The Bears have yet to find traction with Jay Culter out.
Falcons/Bills O48 (-108) 1u
The Falcons may not be a good team this year, but they can still score points. The Bills always play well at home and today will be no different. I expect a high scoring gamne and the fans will leave Ralph Wilson stadium happy.
7 pt TEASER
Pats pk + Bengals( +7) 1u
Didn't have enough confidence with these plays alone, but in a 7pt teaser, this is a very strong play. The Pats head to Houston to face the struggling Texans, and the Bengals play the Chargers. Nice initial lines, but when you throw in a 7pt safety net, these plays look golden.
Saturday, 30 November 2013
Rivalry Weekend
FSU/Florida Over 47 (-115)
Talk about teams with opposite seasons. FSU needs an undefeated season to get a shot at the BCS Championship game, and Florida... they just need this season to be over. Bottom line on this spread, FSU hasn't scored under 41 points all season, and the Gators aren't team they used to be.
Talk about teams with opposite seasons. FSU needs an undefeated season to get a shot at the BCS Championship game, and Florida... they just need this season to be over. Bottom line on this spread, FSU hasn't scored under 41 points all season, and the Gators aren't team they used to be.
Friday, 29 November 2013
Friday NCAA
Good 2-1 yesterday, so close to a perfect card. Here's our friday plays, lets get some plus units heading into this weekend!
Pitts +3 (-115)
Last game of the season, you bet your ass Pitts and their home crowd will be ready to go. If this game was a month ago, the spread would be double digits for Florida. But ever since their lost to F.St, the Hurricanes have lost 3 games including a couple to Duke and Virginia Tech…really? Meanwhile Pitts have won 2 of their last 3 including a great win against Notre Dame. G2 teams heading in opposite directions at the end of the season, take Pitts.
Troy -7.5
Not the most exciting game but a good chance to get a W. Believe it or not Troy has the 12th ranked passing attack in the country, yes Troy. Meanwhile, Texas St. gives up 26 points per game. I can picture this game turning into a track meet, in which case, Texas St. won't be able to keep up.
(More games to come tonight so check back in later!)
Pitts +3 (-115)
Last game of the season, you bet your ass Pitts and their home crowd will be ready to go. If this game was a month ago, the spread would be double digits for Florida. But ever since their lost to F.St, the Hurricanes have lost 3 games including a couple to Duke and Virginia Tech…really? Meanwhile Pitts have won 2 of their last 3 including a great win against Notre Dame. G2 teams heading in opposite directions at the end of the season, take Pitts.
Troy -7.5
Not the most exciting game but a good chance to get a W. Believe it or not Troy has the 12th ranked passing attack in the country, yes Troy. Meanwhile, Texas St. gives up 26 points per game. I can picture this game turning into a track meet, in which case, Texas St. won't be able to keep up.
(More games to come tonight so check back in later!)
Wednesday, 27 November 2013
Thanksgiving
We'd like to wish all our American viewers a very happy thanksgiving. There's nothing more important than family, friends, food, and football!!
Lions -6.5 (-112)
Everyone knows the Packers are beat up and the Lions can't wait to take advantage. This is a divisional matchup and the Lions can't come out soft at home. The Pack are 0-3-1 since AR went down and the fact is that no one else can run that offense on full throttle. On such a stage, the Lions will give their fans something to go home happy about.
Ravens -2.5
Talk about a big game. On Thanksgiving, vs a divisional rival, with identical records... Ohhh boy. Much like the Lions, the Ravens can't afford to come out soft at home. I can't stand Flacco, but I can't pass up on this one. With such a soft spread, basically a win and you're in.
Cowboys-Raiders Over 47.5 (-102)
Don't look now, but Romo is actually playing some pretty good ball lately. The Cowboys are 5th in offensive points, yes, 5th! I think they'll be firing on all cylinders at home and will want to impress their home crowd. As for the Raiders, I expect the Cowboys to do most of the heavy lifting on this over, but Oak will chip in. They have a great run game and the boys have given up over 21 points in their last 4 games.
Lions -6.5 (-112)
Everyone knows the Packers are beat up and the Lions can't wait to take advantage. This is a divisional matchup and the Lions can't come out soft at home. The Pack are 0-3-1 since AR went down and the fact is that no one else can run that offense on full throttle. On such a stage, the Lions will give their fans something to go home happy about.
Ravens -2.5
Talk about a big game. On Thanksgiving, vs a divisional rival, with identical records... Ohhh boy. Much like the Lions, the Ravens can't afford to come out soft at home. I can't stand Flacco, but I can't pass up on this one. With such a soft spread, basically a win and you're in.
Cowboys-Raiders Over 47.5 (-102)
Don't look now, but Romo is actually playing some pretty good ball lately. The Cowboys are 5th in offensive points, yes, 5th! I think they'll be firing on all cylinders at home and will want to impress their home crowd. As for the Raiders, I expect the Cowboys to do most of the heavy lifting on this over, but Oak will chip in. They have a great run game and the boys have given up over 21 points in their last 4 games.
Sunday, 24 November 2013
NFL Week 12
KC -4.5 (-105)
Last week the Broncs handed KC their first lost. Expect KC to bounce back this week against the Chargers. The Chiefs are back at home, where no fans impact the game as much as theirs (well, maybe Seattle). The Chargers' best asset is their passing game, if the KC can shut down Rivers, game over.
Miami +5
This one's a little outside the box, but hear me out. Carolina is coming off a big win against the Patriots and they must be feeling pretty good. Meanwhile, they travel to Miami with a team that has nothing to lose. There's nothing scarier than that. Miami's last two games at home have been wins, I have a hunch they might be poised for an upset.
Indy +3 (-105)
Arizona has been the surprise of the league lately, winning their last 3 games and holding a 6-4 record. But this spread is unfair to an underrated Colts team. They're 7-3 and are 4-1 on the road. If the spread was meant to favour the home team, it doesn't apply in my mind. Take the Colts and the help... but you won't need it.
Chicago +1
The Bears have been battling lately and it's been fun to watch. I don't care if Jay Cutler is out, the Bears can scratch and claw their way down the field through the run game. McCown had his breakout performance last week against the Ravens, beating them in OT. Trestman is as great game manager and can put his players in a position to win every week.
Last week the Broncs handed KC their first lost. Expect KC to bounce back this week against the Chargers. The Chiefs are back at home, where no fans impact the game as much as theirs (well, maybe Seattle). The Chargers' best asset is their passing game, if the KC can shut down Rivers, game over.
Miami +5
This one's a little outside the box, but hear me out. Carolina is coming off a big win against the Patriots and they must be feeling pretty good. Meanwhile, they travel to Miami with a team that has nothing to lose. There's nothing scarier than that. Miami's last two games at home have been wins, I have a hunch they might be poised for an upset.
Indy +3 (-105)
Arizona has been the surprise of the league lately, winning their last 3 games and holding a 6-4 record. But this spread is unfair to an underrated Colts team. They're 7-3 and are 4-1 on the road. If the spread was meant to favour the home team, it doesn't apply in my mind. Take the Colts and the help... but you won't need it.
Chicago +1
The Bears have been battling lately and it's been fun to watch. I don't care if Jay Cutler is out, the Bears can scratch and claw their way down the field through the run game. McCown had his breakout performance last week against the Ravens, beating them in OT. Trestman is as great game manager and can put his players in a position to win every week.
Saturday, 23 November 2013
NCAA Week 13
BYU/Notre Dame Under 54 (-115)
Neither of these teams are scoring machines and both of ND's last two games have come down to the wire. As both defence's are in the top 40 for points against, I expect this to be a tight game. The fact that the point spread is only -1 for ND, this game could go either way and that helps the under. Look for conservative play calling and solid defence.
A&M/LSU Over 74 (-105)
If you're not watching this game this afternoon then I seriously wonder why you're even reading this. I hope this game is as good as it is hyped up to be. Like everyone else I want to see a back and forth shootout between Manziel and the Tigers. LSU was shut down last week and held to only 17 points. I think they'll be itching to put up some points at home. As for A&M, their defence has no business being in the top 25 and the only reason they are ranked 12th is because of Johnny.
Fresno St/New Mexico Over 68 (-115) ***2 Units***
Fresno St loves to put up points, especially at home. They've put up 38 points or more at home every game this year. The determining factor in this play is will be New Mexico's contribution. You wouldn't think of NM as a scoring machine, but in their last 3 games they've put up 30 points or more. This is an undervalued play and that's why it's 2 units.
Neither of these teams are scoring machines and both of ND's last two games have come down to the wire. As both defence's are in the top 40 for points against, I expect this to be a tight game. The fact that the point spread is only -1 for ND, this game could go either way and that helps the under. Look for conservative play calling and solid defence.
A&M/LSU Over 74 (-105)
If you're not watching this game this afternoon then I seriously wonder why you're even reading this. I hope this game is as good as it is hyped up to be. Like everyone else I want to see a back and forth shootout between Manziel and the Tigers. LSU was shut down last week and held to only 17 points. I think they'll be itching to put up some points at home. As for A&M, their defence has no business being in the top 25 and the only reason they are ranked 12th is because of Johnny.
Fresno St/New Mexico Over 68 (-115) ***2 Units***
Fresno St loves to put up points, especially at home. They've put up 38 points or more at home every game this year. The determining factor in this play is will be New Mexico's contribution. You wouldn't think of NM as a scoring machine, but in their last 3 games they've put up 30 points or more. This is an undervalued play and that's why it's 2 units.
Saturday, 16 November 2013
NFL Week 11
Cincinnati -5.5 (-105)
It wasn't a very good road for the Bengals. They are 0-2 in their last two and my guess is they can't wait to get home. The cats are due for a good performance and they can't afford to lose again to the Browns. Heading into a bye week next week, the Bengals need to have a strong performance. I'm betting that the home crowd won't be disappointed.
Jets/Bills over 40 (-110)
Regardless of the matchup, I think a 40 point total line is very low. These are professional football players who are played to make plays and score points. The Jets have proven that they can score points on a big stage, beating the Patriots and the Saints. As for the Bills, they have lost 3 straight and don't want to lose to a divisional opponent at home. I have a hunch this can turn into one of those sloppy back-and-forth games.
Washington +4.5
The Skins are a funny team to watch. They'll have games that remind you of the old run-and-gun RGIII where the kid can't be stopped, then they'll go and lose to a team like the Vikes. An interesting trend though is the last 3 times the Skins lost, they rebounded the next week with a win. We're betting they'll do the same this week. And with a 4.5 point cushion, I like the Skins this week.
Patriots +1 ***3 Units***
Easily, EASILY, our favourite play of the week. The Pats are in Carolina for a primetime showdown on Monday night. And don't look now AFC, but the Patriots may be a dark horse down the road. With Gronk and Amendola healthy, plus the likely return of Talib, Arrington, and Vereen this week, the Pats are the healthiest they've been since the start of the season (minus Vince Wilfork, damn). Brady is starting to find rhythm with his young group and have put up 27 points or more in their last 4 games. Including a 55-point show vs. the Steelers. They will be tested this week against the Panthers D, but I think Tom is chomping at the bit to get back out with a healthy offence.
It wasn't a very good road for the Bengals. They are 0-2 in their last two and my guess is they can't wait to get home. The cats are due for a good performance and they can't afford to lose again to the Browns. Heading into a bye week next week, the Bengals need to have a strong performance. I'm betting that the home crowd won't be disappointed.
Jets/Bills over 40 (-110)
Regardless of the matchup, I think a 40 point total line is very low. These are professional football players who are played to make plays and score points. The Jets have proven that they can score points on a big stage, beating the Patriots and the Saints. As for the Bills, they have lost 3 straight and don't want to lose to a divisional opponent at home. I have a hunch this can turn into one of those sloppy back-and-forth games.
Washington +4.5
The Skins are a funny team to watch. They'll have games that remind you of the old run-and-gun RGIII where the kid can't be stopped, then they'll go and lose to a team like the Vikes. An interesting trend though is the last 3 times the Skins lost, they rebounded the next week with a win. We're betting they'll do the same this week. And with a 4.5 point cushion, I like the Skins this week.
Patriots +1 ***3 Units***
Easily, EASILY, our favourite play of the week. The Pats are in Carolina for a primetime showdown on Monday night. And don't look now AFC, but the Patriots may be a dark horse down the road. With Gronk and Amendola healthy, plus the likely return of Talib, Arrington, and Vereen this week, the Pats are the healthiest they've been since the start of the season (minus Vince Wilfork, damn). Brady is starting to find rhythm with his young group and have put up 27 points or more in their last 4 games. Including a 55-point show vs. the Steelers. They will be tested this week against the Panthers D, but I think Tom is chomping at the bit to get back out with a healthy offence.
Friday, 15 November 2013
NCAA Week 12
Oklahoma St. -3 (-115) ***3 Units***
This is a big one for us. The #12 Cowboys ride into Texas to face the #24 Longhorns. Oklahoma has a high-flying offence that rakes up 40 points a game. In their past 3 games they've scored 42 points or more and have won 5 straight. The Cowboys want to crack the top ten and have been waiting for a big stage to do it. This is their chance.
Central Michigan -3 (-105)
I know it's a boring matchup, but it's a great spread! Central Michigan is a better team across the board. The Western Michigan Broncos are 1-9 in the MAC while Central Michigan is 3-6. The Broncos only average 17 points a game while giving up 36.
Houston +16.5
Houston heads into Louisville to face off against the Cardinals. People have been questioning if Houston is a legitimate team, following their loss last week to UCF. Nothing fires up a team more than doubtful critics. This spread is insulting for a team sitting at 7-2. Houston wants to prove to people that they are a good team, this is the week to do it.
This is a big one for us. The #12 Cowboys ride into Texas to face the #24 Longhorns. Oklahoma has a high-flying offence that rakes up 40 points a game. In their past 3 games they've scored 42 points or more and have won 5 straight. The Cowboys want to crack the top ten and have been waiting for a big stage to do it. This is their chance.
Central Michigan -3 (-105)
I know it's a boring matchup, but it's a great spread! Central Michigan is a better team across the board. The Western Michigan Broncos are 1-9 in the MAC while Central Michigan is 3-6. The Broncos only average 17 points a game while giving up 36.
Houston +16.5
Houston heads into Louisville to face off against the Cardinals. People have been questioning if Houston is a legitimate team, following their loss last week to UCF. Nothing fires up a team more than doubtful critics. This spread is insulting for a team sitting at 7-2. Houston wants to prove to people that they are a good team, this is the week to do it.
Sunday, 10 November 2013
NFL Week 10
Seattle -4.5 (-105)
We've given the Falcons enough chances this year, now they're done. If the Falcons continue to play the way they are, this spread should be a cake walk. The Hawks prolific run offence is their focus point, but last week showed that they can throw the ball as well. They relied on Wilson to comeback over the Bucs and he did. The Hawks know they came out soft last week but this week, against a divisional rival, no mercy.
Chicago +1 EVEN
The Bears are coming home off a good win in Lambeau last week, look for the crowd to be rocking! The Bears rely on a 2-way offence, while the Lions are strictly pass, pass, pass. If the Bears shut down Stafford, the Bears will walk away with a W.
Carolina +6 (+110)
Defence is the name of the game for matchup. I love the spread vs the 49ers as I expect it to be a tight defensive and field-possesion battle. Not only do the Panthers have a top-10 defence, Cam Newton is back to his old self. Don't be surprised if this game comes to a last-minute field goal.
New Orleans +6
This game is all about the bounce-back from last week. The Saints got a reality shock when they lost to the Jets. Now, they're at home and in the comforts of an indoor stadium. When the conditions are right, no defence can stop the Saints pass offence. Last week they were outside in NY (which is a major problem for the Saints looking forward), but this week they're home and look for them to come out flying.
We've given the Falcons enough chances this year, now they're done. If the Falcons continue to play the way they are, this spread should be a cake walk. The Hawks prolific run offence is their focus point, but last week showed that they can throw the ball as well. They relied on Wilson to comeback over the Bucs and he did. The Hawks know they came out soft last week but this week, against a divisional rival, no mercy.
Chicago +1 EVEN
The Bears are coming home off a good win in Lambeau last week, look for the crowd to be rocking! The Bears rely on a 2-way offence, while the Lions are strictly pass, pass, pass. If the Bears shut down Stafford, the Bears will walk away with a W.
Carolina +6 (+110)
Defence is the name of the game for matchup. I love the spread vs the 49ers as I expect it to be a tight defensive and field-possesion battle. Not only do the Panthers have a top-10 defence, Cam Newton is back to his old self. Don't be surprised if this game comes to a last-minute field goal.
New Orleans +6
This game is all about the bounce-back from last week. The Saints got a reality shock when they lost to the Jets. Now, they're at home and in the comforts of an indoor stadium. When the conditions are right, no defence can stop the Saints pass offence. Last week they were outside in NY (which is a major problem for the Saints looking forward), but this week they're home and look for them to come out flying.
Saturday, 9 November 2013
NCAA WEEK 11
Penn State +3 (-115)
Penn St's game has been getting better from week to week, minus the game vs. Ohio St but who can blame them. I believe that Minnesota's mediocre passing offence will hurt them today. Take the Lions.
Virginia Tech +7 (-115)
I think last week Florida St exposed the Hurricane's weaknesses. VT has lost 2 straight and don't want to lose another divisional matchup. I'm not saying they'll win, but +7 is a great spread for a conference game.
Texas -6
Across the board, Texas is a better and well-rounded football team. They're 5-0 against other Big 12 teams as they step up when the game means the most. West Virginia is not the same team they were last year and have fallen off in the conference.
San Diego State University +7 (-120)
Rivals and in-state school, there's no way this game is a blow out. Look for both teams to come out fighting. I like the +7 spread on games like these. I expect this game to be a fourth-quarter game, as they are very closely matched on paper.
Houston +12
Not many people take you Houston seriously and the spread shows it. They're 7-1 with a 18th ranked passing game in the country, and are 12th best in scoring. They're equally matched with UCF, the 12 point spread looks too good to be true.
Arizona St -7 (-125)
The Sun Devils are favourites and with good reason. They're 22nd in the country, must thanks to their passing offence and scoring ability. I have no idea why the spread is only a touchdown. Utah is 1-4 in Pac-12 play and are coming off two ugly losses vs. Arizona and USC.
Penn St's game has been getting better from week to week, minus the game vs. Ohio St but who can blame them. I believe that Minnesota's mediocre passing offence will hurt them today. Take the Lions.
Virginia Tech +7 (-115)
I think last week Florida St exposed the Hurricane's weaknesses. VT has lost 2 straight and don't want to lose another divisional matchup. I'm not saying they'll win, but +7 is a great spread for a conference game.
Texas -6
Across the board, Texas is a better and well-rounded football team. They're 5-0 against other Big 12 teams as they step up when the game means the most. West Virginia is not the same team they were last year and have fallen off in the conference.
San Diego State University +7 (-120)
Rivals and in-state school, there's no way this game is a blow out. Look for both teams to come out fighting. I like the +7 spread on games like these. I expect this game to be a fourth-quarter game, as they are very closely matched on paper.
Houston +12
Not many people take you Houston seriously and the spread shows it. They're 7-1 with a 18th ranked passing game in the country, and are 12th best in scoring. They're equally matched with UCF, the 12 point spread looks too good to be true.
Arizona St -7 (-125)
The Sun Devils are favourites and with good reason. They're 22nd in the country, must thanks to their passing offence and scoring ability. I have no idea why the spread is only a touchdown. Utah is 1-4 in Pac-12 play and are coming off two ugly losses vs. Arizona and USC.
Sunday, 3 November 2013
NFL Week 9
This is it. You can consider this our hail mary pass of our NFL season. Let's do it.
Atlanta +7.5 (-105)
This is our last straw for the hopeless Falcons. I just can't see the Falcons losing to the Panthers by more than a touchdown. They're 2-5 and they NEED a win against a divisional opponent. They got embarrassed last week against the Cards, they have to bounce back.
Minnesota +10 (-105)
The Vikes head into Cowboys stadium with a big game vs. the boys. The Vikes aren't going to win any shoot-outs, and they know it. Look for them to play a conservative game, keeping it close, and controlling the flow of the game. If they can do that, it might be a 4th quarter game. I like the 10 point cushion.
Redskins +1 (-115)
When I look at the Redskins, I look at their last two games. They've gotten back to RGIII/Skins football. They put up 45 points against Chicago, and kept the game close for three quarters last week vs. the Broncos. There passing is 10th in the league and their rushing is 6th. Surprisingly good for a 2-5 team.
Eagles +3 (-125)
I'll give the Raiders credit for their 3-4 start, but not enough to trust em with a pick. The Eagles need this win, having lost their last 2. With their QB-carousel, the Eagles will depend on their running game that I think the Raiders will have a tough time with. I just can't trust the Raiders, this is their chance to prove me wrong. But I'm still taking Eagles.
Ravens -3 (Even)
2 straight losses, thank god the Ravens had a bye-week last week. They needed a chance to regroup and get it together. I think they did that. They had an extra week to prepare for this game against the Browns. They wont lose this game.
Atlanta +7.5 (-105)
This is our last straw for the hopeless Falcons. I just can't see the Falcons losing to the Panthers by more than a touchdown. They're 2-5 and they NEED a win against a divisional opponent. They got embarrassed last week against the Cards, they have to bounce back.
Minnesota +10 (-105)
The Vikes head into Cowboys stadium with a big game vs. the boys. The Vikes aren't going to win any shoot-outs, and they know it. Look for them to play a conservative game, keeping it close, and controlling the flow of the game. If they can do that, it might be a 4th quarter game. I like the 10 point cushion.
Redskins +1 (-115)
When I look at the Redskins, I look at their last two games. They've gotten back to RGIII/Skins football. They put up 45 points against Chicago, and kept the game close for three quarters last week vs. the Broncos. There passing is 10th in the league and their rushing is 6th. Surprisingly good for a 2-5 team.
Eagles +3 (-125)
I'll give the Raiders credit for their 3-4 start, but not enough to trust em with a pick. The Eagles need this win, having lost their last 2. With their QB-carousel, the Eagles will depend on their running game that I think the Raiders will have a tough time with. I just can't trust the Raiders, this is their chance to prove me wrong. But I'm still taking Eagles.
Ravens -3 (Even)
2 straight losses, thank god the Ravens had a bye-week last week. They needed a chance to regroup and get it together. I think they did that. They had an extra week to prepare for this game against the Browns. They wont lose this game.
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